Past Picks
Resolved picks with full analysis and outcomes. Our track record, open for inspection.
Will Paramount Skydance Corporation announce acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery before Dec 1, 2026?
With Netflix officially out and a Zaslav town hall set for Friday, the 'Merger Monday' playbook may be accelerated to a 'Victory Friday' signing—making the 25% odds a value play.
Kansas City vs Arizona Winner?
With the game likely in the 9th inning, the 91% price signals a commanding Arizona lead, but the Spring Training 'no extra innings' rule leaves a narrow 9% window for a tie-killing bad beat.
Will Ariana Grande attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
While the Oscars snubbed Wicked completely, the SAGs nominated Ariana—and with her tour not starting until June 6, she has zero reason to skip her moment as the film's sole representative.
Will the S&P 500 be between 6925 and 6949.9999 on Feb 27, 2026 at 4pm EST? — 6,925 to 6,949.9999
With Nvidia dragging the index down 0.6% to ~6,905 and a high-stakes PPI print looming Friday morning, betting on a precise 'Goldilocks' bounce to 6,925+ is fighting both momentum and volatility.
Will average gas prices be above $2.98?
AAA just confirmed today's price is $2.983—already winning. With the summer blend switch forcing costs up, the 28% implied downside is a mispricing of sticky retail mechanics.
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Mar 2, 2026?
Trump's upcoming Corpus Christi speech is a 'border bash' setup—a context where he has used the 'Sleepy Joe' nickname in 100% of his 2026 transcripts.
How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026? — above 10
SpaceX has already launched 10 times this month, and the 11th rocket is sitting on the pad at Vandenberg *right now* for a launch in less than 4 hours.
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?
AAA reported a massive 2.4-cent jump overnight to $2.975, putting the $3.00 target within striking distance by Saturday. With West Coast prices spiking 40 cents this month, momentum favors the YES.
Will Ca$ino have At Least 15000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for February 26, 2026?
Hits Daily Double projects 13,000 pure sales for Baby Keem, leaving a 15% gap to the target that hope alone can't bridge.
Ethereum price at Feb 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? — $1,790 or above
Ethereum is trading near $1,865—just 4% above the strike—amidst 'Extreme Fear' and whale liquidation, making the market's 95% confidence a dangerous complacency.
Rain in Miami in Feb 2026?
With only 0.08 inches recorded so far and bone-dry air locked in until Friday, Miami needs a nearly 1-inch deluge in the month's final 48 hours to pay out.
How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026? — above 12
SpaceX needs a perfect 4-for-4 streak in the final 120 hours of February to justify the 71% price—one rain cloud in Florida could torch the bull case.
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
He literally renamed the program 'Golden Dome' in March 2025 and used the exact phrase in Davos just last month—56% is a gift.
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
Trump cited the '1 in 31' autism rate as a 'horrible crisis' just five months ago—now his HHS Secretary is rewriting federal policy on it.
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union Address?
George Santos isn't just free—he's Presidentially endorsed. Following his October 2025 commutation and the failure of the 'GEORGE Rule' to pass, the 70% price underestimates the victory lap of a MAGA martyr.
Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union Address?
Barron Trump skipped the 2025 Joint Session while in NYC, and new reports hint he's left D.C. again—making the 41% odds of him attending a Tuesday night speech look significantly overpriced.
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
The crowd thinks 'Congo' is just a random Trump ad-lib, missing the fact that he signed a 'historic' peace deal with the country on December 4, 2025.
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
Trump isn't just talking about crime; he's campaigning on the 'Memphis Model'—a federal takeover he claimed on Jan 5 cut crime by 77%.
Snow in New York City in Feb 21 - Feb 24?
The NWS just upgraded Manhattan's forecast to 18-24 inches, yet the market is pricing a coin flip—bet on the blizzard.
What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
The initiative dissolved in November 2025, but Trump never wastes a 'promise kept'—expect a victory lap, not silence, making 20% a steal.