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strategy
The Kelly Criterion: A Prediction Market Trader's Guide to Position Sizing
How to use the Kelly Criterion to size your prediction market positions — the math behind optimal betting, why fractional Kelly keeps you alive, and practical examples with real Kalshi contracts.
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markets
The Future of Prediction Markets: Where Forecasting Meets Finance
From the Iowa Electronic Markets to CFTC-regulated exchanges — how prediction markets evolved, why they outperform polls, and what the next decade holds for traders and forecasters.
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