Past Picks
Resolved picks with full analysis and outcomes. Our track record, open for inspection.
What will Sean Hannity say during Fox News: Hannity?
President Trump's 8:00 PM Tuesday deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz expires exactly one hour before Hannity goes live.
30
Maritime intelligence tracked 39 physical transits in just three days this week, mathematically clearing the 30-ship threshold.
Will the Argentina inflation rate MoM for March 2026 be above 5.0%?
Despite a 16% surge in gasoline prices, a massive 12% drop in beef costs is anchoring Argentina's March inflation well below the 5.0% threshold.
What will Keir Starmer say during next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)?
With British forces actively deployed in the 2026 Iran conflict and the opposition hammering Labour's delayed 270 billion pound Defence Investment Plan, Starmer's use of the word 'defence' is a political necessity.
What will MrBeast say during massive livestream on the MrBeast YouTube channel?
MrBeast is giving away $1,000 every minute during today's massive livestream, making a 'Subscribe' call-to-action highly probable.
Will the high temp in Philadelphia be <80° on Apr 4, 2026?
Despite a 134-year-old daily record of 80°F, official NWS forecasts project a high of 82°F today, making a sub-80°F outcome the underdog.
Will Wildcard win map 2 in the Wildcard vs. B8 match?
B8 permabans Nuke 77% of the time, instantly neutralizing Wildcard's best map and leaving the 79th-ranked underdog scrambling against the 20th-ranked team in the world.
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
With his signature Department of Community Safety established on March 19 and a press corps eager to ask about crime, Mayor Mamdani has an 88% chance of dropping the S-word in his next livestream.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Rotten Tomatoes score? — Above 40
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie has plummeted to exactly 40 percent on Rotten Tomatoes, and with a 35 percent marginal approval rate on recent reviews, a rebound to 41 percent is mathematically improbable.
Will the high temp in NYC be <68° on Apr 4, 2026? — 67° or below
Despite a deceptive 65°F overnight high, a morning cold front dropped Central Park to 57°F by sunrise, creating a massive 11-degree hurdle for the temperature to breach the 68°F threshold.
What will the announcers say during Jandiroba vs Ricci professional MMA fight?
Tabatha Ricci's 'Baby Shark' moniker is an official UFC trademark, making its mention during tonight's broadcast a near-certainty.
Will US nonfarm payrolls for March 2026 be above 70K?
With economist consensus at just 60K and a 25% surge in March layoffs, the 70K threshold looks surprisingly steep.
Will the silver close price be above $69.49 on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
With major exchanges closed for Good Friday, silver's 5% buffer above the $69.49 strike is structurally protected from standard market volatility.
Will the maximum temperature be <54° on Apr 3, 2026?
With the NWS forecasting 56°F and an amplifying upper-level ridge bringing warmer air, betting on a sub-54°F high requires a massive marine layer forecast bust.
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >118.99 on Apr 7, 2026? — 119.0 or above
WTI's 11% surge to $111.54 captures the headlines, but a 5.5 million barrel US inventory build and an upcoming OPEC+ meeting suggest the $119 target is over-indexed on war fever.
Will the high temp in LA be 74-75° on Apr 3, 2026?
The NWS forecasts a 76°F high at LAX today as a powerful offshore Santa Ana gradient threatens to push temperatures past the narrow 74-75°F window.
What will Donald Trump say during The White House Easter Egg Roll?
Trump has a 100% historical track record of saying 'egg' at this event, making the 85-cent market price a discount on a mechanical certainty.
What will Karoline Leavitt say during Turning Point Tour at George Washington University?
Despite a 27% market price, Karoline Leavitt's recent use of America First to defend the Iran war makes a mention at a friendly TPUSA rally highly probable.
Will the high temp in LA be 69-70° on Apr 2, 2026?
The NWS slashed LAX's Thursday high temperature forecast to 67°F overnight, making the 69-70°F target bin a statistical longshot.
Will the maximum temperature be 44-45° on Apr 2, 2026?
Boston's midnight temperature was 43 degrees, and a 40-degree ocean with strong northeast winds physically caps daytime heating well below the 44-degree threshold.