Past Picks
Resolved picks with full analysis and outcomes. Our track record, open for inspection.
culture LOST
Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union Address?
The market prices an 89-year-old retired Justice at 57c to attend the State of the Union. Historical attendance for retirees is near zero.
57c +25c edge
culture LOST
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles L Professional Basketball Game?
A 42% chance for a 'retirement' mention during a 2026 Lakers game feels light. The narrative arc for aging superstars is already written.
42c +28c edge
culture LOST
How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA for Feb 20, 2026 have?
The market prices a Friday #1 hit at 7c to clear the volume bar. It's treating New Music Friday like a sleepy Monday morning.
7c +28c edge