Past Picks
Resolved picks with full analysis and outcomes. Our track record, open for inspection.
Will the high temp in Chicago be 41-42° on Mar 3, 2026? — 41° to 42°
With the NWS forecasting a 41°F high and the historical average sitting at 42°F, the 44% market price ignores a rare alignment of models and history.
Will the maximum temperature be 87-88° on Mar 3, 2026?
Consumer apps eye 87°F, but the official NWS forecast predicts record-challenging heat 'at or just above 90°F.' This makes the narrow 87-88°F window a likely casualty of the desert sun.
What will Donald Trump say during next White House (YouTube) live announcement by Donald Trump?
Trump has used Epic Fury in every major address since February 28, yet the market prices a repeat at just 55%. As the official name of an active war, its omission would be a major pivot.
Will the high temp in LA be <66° on Mar 2, 2026?
Midnight at LAX was already 64.9°F—just 1.1° shy of the limit—and with noon temps back at 64.4°F and NWS calling for 'upper 60s,' the 'Under 66°' thesis is effectively dead.
Will average gas prices be above $2.988?
Gas needs a 0.5-cent jump on a Sunday to win; yesterday it only managed 0.2 cents.
Will the high temp in LA be >78° on Mar 1, 2026?
The sea breeze arrived early (11 AM), capping LAX at 77°F—two degrees short of the payout. With onshore winds now blowing at 12 knots, the high is likely set.
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Mar 1, 2026?
At 3 PM, DFW is already 80°F under sunny skies—just 2 degrees from a loss. With peak heating ahead and forecasts targeting 82°F, the 53% price ignores the momentum.
Will the high temp in Miami be 84-85° on Feb 28, 2026? — 84° to 85°
With a stalled front to the north and a 72°F head start, Miami is locked into the warm sector—making the NWS forecast of 85°F the smart money play.
Will the high temp in NYC be >45° on Feb 27, 2026? — 46° or above
The NWS Point Forecast for Central Park updated this morning to 'High near 46°F,' while the market is still pricing in last night's 40°F guidance.
What will Donald Trump say during Remarks in Corpus Christi?
Trump's SOTU just three days ago featured 'mass deportation' as a key applause line—with the Texas primary on Tuesday, he's unlikely to drop his signature brand in a border state.
Will Paramount Skydance Corporation announce acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery before Dec 1, 2026?
With Netflix officially out and a Zaslav town hall set for Friday, the 'Merger Monday' playbook may be accelerated to a 'Victory Friday' signing—making the 25% odds a value play.
Kansas City vs Arizona Winner?
With the game likely in the 9th inning, the 91% price signals a commanding Arizona lead, but the Spring Training 'no extra innings' rule leaves a narrow 9% window for a tie-killing bad beat.
Will Ariana Grande attend 32nd Annual Actor Awards?
While the Oscars snubbed Wicked completely, the SAGs nominated Ariana—and with her tour not starting until June 6, she has zero reason to skip her moment as the film's sole representative.
Will the S&P 500 be between 6925 and 6949.9999 on Feb 27, 2026 at 4pm EST? — 6,925 to 6,949.9999
With Nvidia dragging the index down 0.6% to ~6,905 and a high-stakes PPI print looming Friday morning, betting on a precise 'Goldilocks' bounce to 6,925+ is fighting both momentum and volatility.
Will average gas prices be above $2.98?
AAA just confirmed today's price is $2.983—already winning. With the summer blend switch forcing costs up, the 28% implied downside is a mispricing of sticky retail mechanics.
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Mar 2, 2026?
Trump's upcoming Corpus Christi speech is a 'border bash' setup—a context where he has used the 'Sleepy Joe' nickname in 100% of his 2026 transcripts.
How many launches will SpaceX have in Feb 2026? — above 10
SpaceX has already launched 10 times this month, and the 11th rocket is sitting on the pad at Vandenberg *right now* for a launch in less than 4 hours.
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?
AAA reported a massive 2.4-cent jump overnight to $2.975, putting the $3.00 target within striking distance by Saturday. With West Coast prices spiking 40 cents this month, momentum favors the YES.
Will Ca$ino have At Least 15000 pure album sales on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for February 26, 2026?
Hits Daily Double projects 13,000 pure sales for Baby Keem, leaving a 15% gap to the target that hope alone can't bridge.
Ethereum price at Feb 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? — $1,790 or above
Ethereum is trading near $1,865—just 4% above the strike—amidst 'Extreme Fear' and whale liquidation, making the market's 95% confidence a dangerous complacency.