Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Mar 23, 2026?

Trump has a well-documented obsession with Biden's use of the autopen, viewing it as a symbol of an illegitimate presidency. He reportedly replaced Biden's White House portrait with a photo of the device in late 2025 and has repeatedly posted about it on Truth Social to invalidate his predecessor's executive orders. Recent news provided a fresh catalyst: the DOJ reportedly dropped its investigation into Biden's autopen use in early March 2026. This prompted Trump to mention the device frequently, with a similar prediction market resolving YES for the week of March 2-9, and Trump reportedly joking about it to Attorney General Pam Bondi on March 12. Trump's schedule includes multiple press gaggles and a rally in Georgia on March 21. In these unscripted environments, he frequently airs domestic grievances and attacks the justice system, providing ample opportunity for the word to slip into his remarks if prompted by a reporter.

The main headwind is the rhetorical crowding-out effect of the ongoing military conflict with Iran (Operation Epic Fury). Trump's recent public remarks have heavily pivoted toward national security, military strikes, and commander-in-chief posturing, leaving little oxygen for backward-looking administrative complaints. The catalyst of the DOJ dropping the probe occurred in early March. Having already vented about it—evidenced by his March 12 remarks—the topic may have reached the point of diminishing returns. Trump's news cycle moves rapidly, and a two-week-old grievance is unlikely to surface organically without a direct press prompt. The market requires the exact word 'autopen' or 'auto pen.' Even if Trump complains about Biden's executive orders or the dropped DOJ probe, he frequently relies on broader, high-impact vocabulary like 'fake signatures,' 'machines,' or 'corrupt DOJ.' This linguistic variance introduces significant execution risk for a YES resolution.