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#2 US Netflix Movie on Mar 23, 2026? — Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
The Setup
The market asks if the Lifetime thriller Gaslit By My Husband will land exactly at #2 on the Netflix US Top 10 Movies chart for March 23. While currently sitting at #1, the film faces a massive influx of weekend releases. Traders must weigh the stickiness of true-crime momentum against the explosive debut potential of incoming franchise heavyweights.
Facing a brutal weekend gauntlet of Peaky Blinders and major animated sequels, Gaslit By My Husband is highly likely to drop past the fragile #2 spot to #3 or lower.
Market
82c
Our Estimate
82-95c
Edge
+7c
Bull Case
The weekend release slate is simply too crowded for Gaslit to safely land at exactly #2. Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man, released on March 20, is a massive Netflix Original event that will almost certainly capture the #1 spot. This alone displaces the incumbent, but it is only the first hurdle.
Immediately following it, DreamWorks' The Bad Guys 2 drops on March 21, and Minions: The Rise of Gru arrives on March 23. Major animated features historically command top-two placements upon release due to high co-viewing and rewatchability. This creates a formidable multi-title onslaught that will likely push older titles down the board.
Furthermore, Gaslit By My Husband is aging out of its peak viewership window. Having debuted around March 15, it will be on its eighth or ninth day by the target date. Licensed Lifetime thrillers typically experience a sharp drop-off after their initial viral spike. Combined with the fragile exact-rank requirement—where landing at #1, #3, or #4 all result in a loss—the probability of threading the needle at exactly #2 is exceptionally low.
Bear Case
Gaslit By My Husband has demonstrated exceptional momentum, holding the #1 spot for multiple days and successfully fending off major sequels like Nobody 2. This strong engagement floor could keep it in the top two even as new competition arrives, proving that its viral true-crime audience is stickier than typical licensed fare.
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man provides the perfect natural displacement. As a blockbuster release, it is expected to take #1, which would neatly push the incumbent #1 down exactly one spot to #2. If the rest of the chart remains static, this 1-spot drop is the most logical progression.
Incoming competition like The Bad Guys 2 or Minions might experience a debut lag. Animated films sometimes take 24-48 hours to consolidate viewership, and a Monday release for Minions could result in a slower ramp-up. If these family titles fail to immediately capture the adult-dominated top spots, the #2 position remains open for Gaslit on March 23.
What Could Go Wrong
IF The Bad Guys 2 and Minions both underperform or experience significant debut lag, THEN Gaslit could hold the #2 spot behind Peaky Blinders.
IF Peaky Blinders takes #1 and Gaslit's true-crime audience proves stickier than expected against weekend action and family releases, THEN it could perfectly park at exactly #2.
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